Today’s disruption news: Web-scale vs. 3-Tier infrastructure

Two good articles were published today. The first, from ZD Net, is titled, Enterprise tech vendors: Sizing up the next gen field.  The article talks about the upcoming reshuffling of the enterprise stack. While tech buyers named VMware, Cisco and Microsoft as the three most important vendors over the next three years, EMC was ranked second to last.

EMC Struggle 1 0

Nutanix got a mention, along with “Pure Storage and/or Tintri” as one of the “key vendors that are likely to get some play as the next-gen tech pecking order forms in the next two to three years.”

The second article worth reading is Top technological trends hitting the datacenter soon in SearchDataCenter.  Slide #3 is titled, “Web-scale IT evolves data centers”.  While the slide disappointingly doesn’t discuss web-scale converged infrastructure, it does highlight the importance of adopting cloud-like technologies to the datacenter.

Get in on the Nutanix Technical Champion (NTC) ground floor

Microsoft has MVP, Citrix – CTP, Cisco – Cisco Champions, VMware – vExpert, EMC – Elect, and so on. Nutanix has just launched its Nutanix Technical Champion (NTC) program and applications are being accepted until November 15.

I was a Microsoft MVP for four years and have been a VMware vExpert since the beginning – for the past six years. I find these types of programs to be incredibly valuable. Benefits typically include things such as access to pre-release product information, special events, direct access to manufacturer top executives, speaking engagements and other publicity, etc.

Most importantly, these programs offer an opportunity to get to meet and interact with like-minded peers. The exchange of information that tends to take place can be very beneficial both for one’s company and for her/his own career path.

Nutanix is the fastest-growing infrastructure company of the past decade, and its web-scale technology is disrupting the datacenter status-quo in a manner comparable to what VMware did with virtualization ten years ago. Channel partner technical folks have a great opportunity to get in on the ground floor of the NTC, and to help revolutionize the way that datcenters are built and operate.

 

 

The VCE dissolution: here comes channel disruption

“Partnering is more difficult than acquisitions…Most strategic coalitions have a very high failure rate, worse than acquiring, and yet as a company, we’ve all three been able to do this.”
-John Chambers, 2009

The waves of disruption are starting to break.

Several magazines (see Sources) reported today that EMC is folding VCE into its business and buying out most of Cisco’s stake. Assuming this is true (EMC is having a big announcement tomorrow morning), it is another huge indicator of the massive datacenter disruption that’s coming. While I think that EMC will certainly still promote Vblocks, it’s hard to imagine that they’ll do so as enthusiastically as they did in conjunction with VCE.

Selling Vblocks

VCE has been on a $1.8 billion run rate. Vblock partners tend to love the product because they make a lot of money from selling, installing and upgrading it. One VCE partner told me that every time VMware upgrades vSphere, customers have to upgrade their Vblocks. This is a laborious process often requiring a team of consultants working up to three days to accomplish. It translates to great services business.

I have to admit, I was surprised at how well VCE has done during the past five years. When I initially heard about Acadia (as VCE was initially called), I thought that there was no way this product was going to sell. The idea of getting the server, storage and networking folks to all come together at the same time and agree upon a common platform purchase seemed to be an insurmountable challenge. A year later I was still somewhat skeptical. I even wrote a blog post about the sales incentive problems with misaligned quarter endings.

But I misjudged the desperation many IT staffs felt as they increasingly virtualized their datacenters. They faced huge challenges in deployment time, finger pointing between server and storage manufacturers, and in functional group collaboration. The topnotch salespeople from VCE, along with channel partner support, convinced many of them that “the world’s most advanced converged infrastructure” was an answer to their struggles.

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Working for a channel partner that moved a whole a lot of both Cisco UCS and EMC, I jumped on the Vblock bandwagon and helped facilitate a fair number of sales utilizing ROI analysis. But I always felt that there had to be a more elegant solution to the challenges of hosting a virtualized datacenter than simply integrating separate products as a single SKU. Once I learned about the Nutanix web-scale architecture, I became convinced that this was a vastly superior alternative.

Channel Implications

A Taneja Group report comparing Nutanix with VCE (sponsored by Nutanix) was just released today. The report states, “Taneja has found that the majority of VCE customers adopted Vblocks because they already had active VCE or VCE-partner sales teams coming at them.”

It will be interesting to see how Vblock partners fare without the huge VCE focus and assistance. On the plus side, it’s almost a certainty that they’ll no longer have to promote Cisco’s ACI over VMware’s NSX. On the negative, they can say goodbye to the monetary incentives from the recently established joint channel program between EMC and Cisco.

Not surprisingly, I’d like to see more Vblock partners get on board with web-scale. In my opinion, selling Vblocks in comparison to selling Nutanix is like pushing rope. Even some die-hard very large Vblock customers have now started migrating to web-scale.

The Taneja Group report says it well, “We believe that even data centers that are happy enough with converged systems today will look to hyperconverged systems tomorrow. Better yet, instead of investing in a traditional convergence solution, businesses should consider going directly to a next-generation solution like Nutanix.”

Sources:

Cisco Said to be Selling Most of VCE Stake to EMC. 10/22/2014. Bob Brown. Computerworld.

Report: EMC to Take a Bigger Role in VCE as Cisco Reduces Stake. 10/21/2014. Barb Darrow. Gigamom.

The End of Pretend? Cisco Looks to Partially Exit VCE Joint Venture. 10/21/2014. Ben Kepes. Forbes.

EMC Said to Absorb VCE Joint Venture as Cisco Reduces Stake. 10/21/2014. Dina Bass & Peter Burrows. Bloomberg.

Tech Titans Unite for Private Cloud Push. 11/05/2009. Jennifer Kavur. IT World Canada.

http://www.itworldcanada.com/article/tech-titans-unite-for-private-cloud-push/40087

Channel Disrupt – an Introduction

“It is not the strongest of the species that survives, nor the most intelligent that survives. It is the one that is most adaptable to change.”
-Charles Darwin

I’ve headed up channel sales for the Americas at Nutanix for 19 months now, but previously worked on the partner side of the IT infrastructure channel for 25 years. During that time, I saw a lot of disruptive technologies such as Ethernet, VoIP, the Internet, etc. But from a datacenter standpoint, nothing came close to the impact of virtualization.

VMware’s introduction of vMotion 11 years ago turned out to be an incredible boon to the IT channel. Solutions providers grew in both number and size as they helped organizations across the globe to virtualize their data centers through the acquisition of high-end hosting servers, SANs and switch fabrics.

Many VARs, especially the larger ones, were reluctant to fully embrace VMware’s revolutionary technology. But they were fortunate in that virtualization spread surprisingly slowly; they generally had time to adapt. The VMware consultancy I ran, for example, was purchased after only three years in business by a much larger publicly-traded Cisco partner desperate to quickly acquire virtualization expertise.

Today’s disruptive climate is dramatically different. Rather than enjoying an exploding increase in purchases of traditional datacenter hardware, solutions providers are going to see the opposite take place. And the timeframe is going to be very fast.

Consider:

  • Web-scale technology, as introduced to the enterprise by Nutanix three years ago, has gained exceptionally fast mind share across the globe including an OEM offering by Dell.
  • VMware has introduced its own hyper-scale technology, EVO:Rail, that competes with both its long-term storage partners and with parent company, EMC.
  • HP is jumping on the hyper-converged bandwagon both with EVO:Rail and with an updated version of its Left-Hand Networks. And it’s splitting off half of its business in order to focus on the enterprise space.
  • EMC, the leading storage manufacturer, has been seeking to be acquired.
  • VCE, the leading player in the so-called “converged infrastructure” space has increasing animosity among two of its primary partners, and Cisco is rumored to have turned off the financial spigot.
  • AWS is making big strides as they work to take away everyone’s hardware business.

According to IDC, the total server and storage market is now over $70B annually. An incredible $56B of this business is done by only seven vendors (eight once Lenovo’s purchase of IBM’s server business is reflected): EMC, HP, IBM, Dell, NetApp, Oracle and Cisco. Most of this revenue flows through channel partners.  As the status quo business decreases, resellers are going to have to react very quickly to compensate.

Manufacturer 2014 Server Revenue
(in millions – annualized)
2014 Storage Revenue
(in millions – annualized)
Total
(in millions)
HP $12,776 $2,384 $15,160
IBM $11,888 $2,848 $14,736
Dell $8,332 $1,700 $10,032
EMC
$7,056
$7,056
NetApp
$3,060
$3,060
Oracle
$2,948
$2,948
Cisco
$2,908
$2,908
Subtotal $38,852 $17,048 $55,900
Hitachi
$1,492 $1,492
ODM Direct $3,340
$3,340
Others $8,084 $4,940 $13,024
Total $50,276 $23,480 $73,756

Putting the Customer Second

All solutions providers say that they have their customers’ best interests at heart. But infrastructure VARs are typically dependent upon a few, or less, of the handful of leading datacenter manufacturers for most of their business.

The VARs make significant investments in trainings for both salespeople and technical folks. They work to obtain both individual and organizational certifications. They attend manufacturer conferences, engage in manufacturer led demand-generation events, and develop close relationships with their manufacturer partners. In return, the resellers receive Marketing Development Funds, access to sales and engineering resources and, most importantly, opportunities.

This channel structure has worked quite well since the early days of IBM-initiated solutions integrators, and many reseller organizations are now doing hundreds of millions or even billions of dollars in annual revenues. But the channel structure can often make it challenging to put customer advocacy ahead of manufacturer loyalty.

When a manufacturer, for example, introduces a partner into a new account, that partner has to push the manufacturer’s products regardless of whether or not the technology is the best fit. Introducing a competitive product would spell the death knell for receiving future opportunities.

Partners of the leading datacenter incumbents need to be careful even in their existing accounts of mentioning one of the newer disruptive technologies as an option. The partner will typically position it, if at all, only in situations where the incumbent either lacks a competitive product or is not likely to notice. The alternative is to risk the potential wrath of the datacenter giant.

So while a channel partner will privately often concede that, say, web-scale infrastructure makes a lot more sense for a virtualized datacenter than a Vblock, it can’t even bring up this option to the customer for fear of jeopardizing its large Cisco and EMC revenue streams. The manufacturer  relationships supersede the customer’s best interest.

In Boldness There’s Opportunity

Ray Noorda of Novell used to tell his partners, “In mystery, there’s margin”.  Today’s corollary might be, “In boldness, there’s opportunity”. The handful of infrastructure giants are selling virtualized organizations tens of billions of dollars worth of equipment that was designed and optimized for a physical datacenter.

Enterprising channel partners have an extraordinary opportunity to educate clients and prospects about the advantages of web-scale converged infrastructure. Not only is the revenue and profit potential vast, but they can also differentiate themselves from the pack as innovative, forward-thinking, and as leaders in integrating cloud technologies.

Sources
Weak Demand for Storage Systems…as Worldwide External Disk Storage Systems Revenue Falls for Second Consecutive Quarter.  09/05/2014. IDC Press Release.
Server Refresh Cycle Propels Industry Forward in Q2. 08/27/2014. Charlie Osborne. ZDNET.